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    Solid earth sciences

    202404202404

    Detection of a recent large Hyuga-nada long-term slow slip event and estimation of its spatiotemporal slip distributions

    Hiroki Kawabata, Yukinari Seshimo, Shoichi Yoshioka, Francisco Ortega-CulaciatiHiroki Kawabata, Yukinari Seshimo, Shoichi Yoshioka and Francisco Ortega-Culaciati

    L-SSE, Hyuga-nada, Inversion analysis, Spatiotemporal slip distribution, Critical stiffness, Conditionally stable

    Cumulative slip distribution during the period from 2018.5 to 2021.7 at 2 cm contour intervals. The green bold line indicates the outer edge of the subducted Kyushu-Palau Ridge (KPR) by Yamamoto et al. (2013). The gray area represents the area with an average resolution of 0.08 or less. The gray lines represent isodepth contour lines of the upper surface of the PHS plate. The pink line represents the location of the mantle wedge corner (MWC), which coincides with the isodepth contour of 30 km. The yellow-green line represents the 350 °C isotherm of the upper surface of the subducted PHS plate by Ji et al. (2016). The solid blue area and the blue contour lines with 2 cm intervals represent the coseismic slip area and afterslip area of the October 19, 1996 Hyuga-nada earthquake, respectively (Yagi et al. 2001). The solid red and red contour lines with 2 cm intervals represent the coseismic slip area and afterslip area, respectively, of the December 3, 1996 Hyuga-nada earthquake (Yagi et al. 2001). The yellow‒green solid square indicates the epicenter of the Mw6.2 Hyuga-nada earthquake on May 10, 2019 together with its CMT solution. The small solid orange stars represent the epicenters of the shallow very long frequency earthquakes (VLFEs) reported by Asano et al. (2015) from January 1, 2010 to March 31, 2010. The small gray and red solid circles represent the epicenters of shallow tectonic tremors reported by Yamashita et al. (2015) from April 2013 to July 2013 and Yamashita et al. (2021) from March 2014 to February 2017, respectively.

    Using horizontal and vertical GNSS time series data from the GSI in sotheastern Kyushu from January 1, 2017 to June 30, 2022, we detected a recent long-term slow slip event (L-SSE) that occurred in the Hyuga-nada region, southwest Japan, and estimated its spatiotemporal slip distribution. We performed such analysis considering the piecewise evolution of slip over time with time windows of 0.8 years to ensure a good signal-to-noise ratio in the horizontal displacements in each time window. The results showed that a slip of more than 2 cm occurred in the central part of Miyazaki Prefecture from 2018.5 to 2019.3 (the units were 0.1 years = 36.5 days). Then, the amount of slip increased and expanded slightly to the southern part of Miyazaki Prefecture from 2019.3 to 2020.1, and the amount of slip reached a maximum of 3.9 cm in the subsequent period (2020.1–2020.9). A smaller slip occurred at almost the same location in the following 0.8 years. Therefore, the duration of the L-SSE was approximately 3.2 years from approximately 2018.5 to 2021.7. The annual average maximum slip rate was approximately 4.9 cm/yr (3.9 cm/0.8 yr) during the period from 2020.1 to 2020.9. The maximum total slip was estimated to be approximately 12.9 cm, and the equivalent release moment was 4.9 × 1019 Nm, corresponding to Mw7.1. Compared to previous L-SSEs that occurred in the Hyuga-nada region, the annual average maximum slip rate was relatively low, and the main total slip was estimated at almost the same location on the plate interface. On the other hand, the slip duration of this L-SSE was the longest, and the release moment and moment magnitude were the greatest. The total slip area of more than approximately 10 cm in the Hyuga-nada L-SSE estimated in this study almost overlapped with the afterslip area of the December 3, 1996 Hyuga-nada earthquake, with a depth range of approximately 30–40 km. Short-term SSEs also occurred in the same depth range. These coincidental same depth ranges of interplate seismic events stem from large thermal gradients. The large thermal gradients play an important role in narrowing the depth range of frictional parameters (a–b) at the plate interface. In addition, the pore pressure and normal stress are closely related to the critical stiffness. In particular, contrasting values of pore pressure and normal stress at the shallow and deep sides of the mantle wedge corner may also contribute to transient aseismic slip within the same depth range.